Let's take it as a fact that we need to do something to mitigate the growth rate of the human population. There is a myriad of options and issues that we face. The most obvious policy would be to increase contraceptive (and information on how to use them) distribution to those that want it. The government is already involved in such "passive" population control through their funding of Planned Parenthood. Link 2 below shows a paper that has collected data on unplanned pregnancies and their proportion to total pregnancies. In each region of the world the rate of unexpected pregnancies is above 30%. Increased distribution of contraceptives and information could realistically reduce this value to 10% or even to 5%. The size of this reduction in the birth rate might be large enough to ensure the government would not have to insert itself into "active" population control.
But of course, that is where the interesting conversation is. If we decide that it is beneficial to reduce the growth rate and "passive" efforts aren't doing enough, how do we restrict the births to parents that want to have children. Certainly proposals like forced sterilization and forced abortion cannot be considered because each is a direct violation of one's right to their body. Even more realistic proposals like issuing birth credits (for more info, see Link 3), face issues, albeit with a chance at acceptable modifications. Some may scoff at this idea and suggest that we are implementing the next Chinese one child policy and that's almost exactly what it would be (more of a ~2.3 child policy, but with the same idea of restricting births). The only difference is that, if enacted in the United States, we have the ability to mitigate the problems that were discussed in the Case Study of the presentation. Instead of jailing people under the threat of forced sterilization or forced abortion, we just impose fines on those who exceed their allotment. Instead of the favoring of boys, the increased gender equality in the West would lead to a more balanced gender birth rate (although I think we still have some more work to do with regards to this).
All in all, I think it's an issue that is coming into the foreground, not only as we have more children, but also as those children live for more extended periods of time. One day - maybe even in our lifetime - the human race will need to create policies on such an issue. By talking about it now, we can ensure that the future generations have thought through the topic and are in the best position to make their decision.
[1] http://www.pnas.org/content/99/14/9266.full.pdf+html
[2] http://www.guttmacher.org/pubs/journals/j.1728-4465.2014.00393.x.pdf
[3] http://motherboard.vice.com/blog/birth-credits-population-control
In terms of the birth credits, how do we think of a possible situation in which rich people buy credits from poor people and thus be able to have more children? Can we compare it with eugenics?
ReplyDeleteThat's actually the most glaring issue with birth credits. It would be nearly impossible for a person in poverty to refuse millions of dollars for a birth credit. The implemented policy would need to prohibit this in some way. The first thing that comes to mind is a cap on how much a birth credit could be sold for, thereby preventing this type of extravagant purchase. This would be easy to enact if all credits were traded on a centralized, monitored exchange. Black markets wouldn't form because the overseeing body must perform the actual transfer, presumably in a database somewhere. There may be better ways of preventing this issue in practice. Any thoughts?
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